Ask hard questions. Preserve the raw evidence. Reproduce the mathematics. Reconstruct what was known when. Keep contradictory evidence visible.
Visual exploration for the curious. Reproducible evidence trails for people who need to defend a conclusion.
Direct Bitcoin Core observations, raw serialized blocks, transaction parsing and merkle verification.
DEAL now compiles supported questions into atomic assertions, evidence requirements and explicit falsification challenges before evaluation.
Model versions, knowledge cutoffs, prediction intervals and later errors are permanent audit objects — never silently rewritten into hindsight.
Each layer preserves the limits of the layer beneath it. No module is allowed to manufacture a verdict, causal claim or predictive certainty from descriptive evidence.
Register domain-qualified evidence types, compilers, research providers and case resolvers without hard-coding domain semantics into DEAL Core.
Open Domain Catalog →DOMAIN REGISTRATION ≠ EVIDENCE VALIDATIONTurn a question into a bounded execution graph spanning assertions, evidence discovery, analytical modules and Research Cases without turning automation into authority.
Open Ask DEAL 2.0 →0 sealed orchestrator answersFreeze pre-event, reaction and recovery windows while preserving venue disagreement, confounders and knowledge time.
Open Event Atlas →Study regimes, archetypes, contradictions and historical analogues without turning similarity into a forecast.
Open Cross-Event Intelligence →Evaluate expected observations, declared falsifiers and competing explanations independently — no winner score.
Open Hypothesis Lab →Bind assertions, evidence, contradictions, unknowns, provenance and sealed knowledge-time snapshots into a persistent case file.
Open Research Cases →0 sealed case snapshotsDetect upstream state changes, dispatch bounded Research Case re-evaluations, preserve immutable before/after snapshots and require explicit publication decisions.
Open Continuous Research →0 re-evaluation runs · 0 change eventsRun governed multi-case investigations with team roles, custody, evidence holds, tasks, peer review, redaction overlays and immutable evidence freezes.
Open Investigation Rooms →0 sealed room snapshots · ROOM CONSENSUS ≠ FACTEvery pretty chart should collapse into an auditable trail.
Move through valid time to inspect what existed, then through knowledge time to inspect what this DEAL node had actually observed. Historical evidence and later knowledge stay separate.
DEAL can now turn a sealed research snapshot into a polished brief without changing the evidentiary state underneath it. Every published report stays bound to the exact DEAL Record and SHA-256 that produced it.
Scoped read-only API keys expose DEAL research as machine-readable infrastructure, while portable ZIP bundles carry the question, evidence graph, timeline, sealed DEAL Record and cryptographic verification into downstream systems.
GET /api/institutional/research/{uuid}X-DEAL-Key: deal_live_…DEAL keeps prediction machinery explicitly outside the evidence layer. Every run carries a knowledge cutoff and immutable SHA-256; later outcomes are appended rather than used to rewrite the original call.
DEAL now separates the semantic identity of a dataset from the provider feeding it. CSV, JSON, NDJSON, future APIs, institutional uploads and domain-specific feeds can all bind to the same catalog contract without rewriting the research engine.
DEAL can now acquire remote datasets on schedule through encrypted credentials, conditional HTTP requests, byte limits, SSRF controls, rate-limit handling and exponential backoff—then hand the untouched bytes into the same immutable Data Catalog pipeline.
Watchtower evaluates operational and research-state conditions without promoting alerts into evidence. Workspaces compose published DEAL objects into living command centers while Universal Search finds the underlying objects by identity or content.
DEAL now carries evidence from acquisition through private handling, quality inspection, review, scheduled publication, dashboards, alerts and export without changing the immutable objects underneath.
Spot liquidity, derivatives, options, ETF and treasury flows, ownership cohorts, mining economics, stablecoin liquidity and macro context now share one source-agnostic bitemporal metric registry. The charts can be loud; the evidence chain stays louder.
DEAL now collapses repeated upstream lineage, aligns freshness windows and exposes agreement, divergence and conflict across Bitcoin measurements. A hundred copies of one source still count as one lineage.
Reconciled source ranges, bitemporal freshness, explicit unknowns and deterministic condition rules now assemble into a market-state surface without manufacturing a consensus midpoint.
The first proving ground. Protocol blocks, UTXOs, historical state and eventually market, derivatives, institutional and macro evidence.
The core ontology stays domain agnostic. Security, science, law, economics and other evidence domains can attach without rewriting the kernel.
Observed ≠ derived ≠ inferred ≠ forecast